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Frequency Distribution of 25th Joe Figures


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This is my estimate of how often each figure would appear in a sample set of cases. It is based on all known revisions of case assortments as listed on BBTS, EntEarth, and a couple other places.

 

As listed in my notes, this would be based on having an even # of cases for each wave. Within each wave, all known revisions of said wave would have an equal weighting. The sample size is 2 cases per wave, for 12 cases total. The 5-packs and comic 2-packs are added in at 1 of each case to give a rough comparison, but not as useful as the intra-singles distribution.

 

Hope you guys find it useful.

 

	 # Freq Distribution of Figures by mold (waves 1-6), subdivided by packaging/colors

 # Assumptions:
 # balanced # of singles cases for each wave:
 #   in an avg of 2 cases per singles wave for 6 waves
 #   (calculated from 60 cases -- 10 per wave, evenly distributed over known
 #   'revisions' -- and divided by 5 for the avg frequency.)

 # In an average of 12 singles cases total, and
 # 1 case of each wave for:
 #   3  battle packs
 #   3  comics 2-packs

 # you would find:

 Ttl Sub	 Character				   (Pkg - Name - Variation)

 9x  4x	  Duke						(5 pk - First Sergeant)
	 2x								  (1 pk - First Sergeant)
	 3x								  (2 pk - First Sergeant - brighter grn)
 10x 4x	  Scarlett					(5 pk - Counter Intelligence - tan/grn)
	 2x								  (1 pk - Counter Intelligence - tan/grn)
	 4x								  (2 pk - Counter Intelligence - ylw/blue)
 6x  4x	  Roadblock				   (5 pk - Heavy Machine Gunner)
	 2x								  (1 pk - Heavy Machine Gunner)
 6x  4x	  Gung Ho					 (5 pk - Marine)
	 2x								  (1 pk - Marine)
 26.6x	   Snake Eyes
	 4x								  (5 pk - Commando - goggles, blk)
	 7.8x	w/Timber					(1 pk - Commando - visor)
	 7.8x								(1 pk - Commando - goggles, blk)
	 5x								  (2 pk - Commando - goggles, wht goggles/blue)
	 2x								  (2 pk - Commando - goggles, battle damage)
 2.4x		Flint					   (1 pk - Warrant Officer)
 4.4x		Beachhead				   (1 pk - Ranger)
 2.4x		Lady Jaye				   (1 pk - Covert Operations)
 1.6x		Sgt. Stalker				(1 pk - Ranger)
 3.2x		Shipwreck				   (1 pk - Sailor)
 2x		  Snow Job					(1 pk - Arctic Trooper)
 2x		  Sgt. Flash				  (1 pk - Laser Rifle Trooper)
 2x		  Torpedo					 (1 pk)
 2x		  Rock & Roll				 (1 pk)
 4x		  Hawk						(2 pk)
 2x		  Breaker					 (2 pk)
 2x		  Ace						 (2 pk)

 19.4x	   Cobra Commander
	 3x								  (5 pk - Cobra Leader - mask)
	 2x								  (5 pk - Supreme Cobra Leader - mask, black)
	 2x								  (1 pk - Cobra Leader - mask)
	 7.4x								(1 pk - Cobra Leader - hood)
	 2x								  (1 pk - Cobra Leader - battle armor)
	 3x								  (2 pk - Cobra Leader - hood, light blue)
 9x  3x	  Destro					  (5 pk - Enemy Weapons Supplier)
	 2x								  (1 pk - Enemy Weapons Supplier)
	 2x								  (1 pk - Iron Grenadier Leader)
	 2x								  (2 pk - Enemy Weapons Supplier - blue suit, metallic blue gloves)
 3x		  Baroness					(5 pk - Cobra Intelligence Officer)
 20.4x	   Storm Shadow
	 3x								  (5 pk - Ninja - cowl)
	 2x								  (1 pk - Ninja - cowl)
	 2x								  (5 pk - Ninja - dragon, red/white)
	 5x								  (2 pk - Ninja - cowl, yellow arrows)
	 6.4x								(1 pk - Ninja - hood, grey/white)
	 2x								  (2 pk - Ninja - battle damage)
 4.8x		Serpentor				   (1 pk - Cobra Emperor)
 2.8x		Buzzer					  (1 pk - Dreaknok)
 1.6x		Firefly					 (1 pk - Cobra Saboteur)
 2x		  Zartan					  (1 pk - Master of Disguise)
 2x		  Torch					   (2 pk)
 2x		  Ripper					  (2 pk)
 2x		  Wild Weasel				 (2 pk)
 2x		  Tomax					   (2 pk)
 2x		  Xamot					   (2 pk)

 9x  4x	  Cobra Trooper			   (1 pk - Cobra - blk mask, gry insignia, blk knees, blk webgear)
	 3x	  Cobra Trooper			   (5 pk - Cobra - blk mask, red insignia, blk knees, blk webgear)
	 2x	  Cobra Trooper			   (5 pk - Cobra - red mask, red insignia, blk knees, ylw webgear)
 2.8x		Cobra Officer			   (1 pk - Cobra Officer - gry mask, gry insignia, gry knees, gry webgear)
 2x		  Cobra Stinger Driver		(5 pk - Cobra Vehicle Driver)
 4x  2x	  Cobra Air Trooper		   (5 pk - Cobra Elite Infantry)
	 2x	  Cobra Air Trooper		   (1 pk - Cobra Elite Infantry)
 4x		  Cobra Red Ninja			 (1 pk - Cobra Red Ninja)
 6x  4x	  Crimson Guard			   (1 pk - Cobra Elite Trooper)
	 2x	  Crimson Guard			   (2 pk)
 2x		  Crimson Officer			 (2 pk)


 # Notes:
 # - Subsequent waves tend to repack earlier characters so later wave characters
 #   (Torpedo, Rock and Roll, etc) numbers will be expectedly lower.
 # - If there are more cases of one revision during a wave, these will be slightly off.
 # - Frequency distribution for exclusives, like Doc, don't have case metrics so
 #   aren't included.
 # - The comparisons between 5-packs and 2-packs against singles aren't as
 #   useful as within each other but they are included to give a rough idea.

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